OtherDCF valuation

Business valuation.
From forecast to value.

Estimate enterprise value using the discounted cash flow method. Combine historical data with the forecast and see how assumptions affect the valuation.

Fincorex screen: DCF business valuation – enterprise value, free cash flow and revenue projections
Model components

From financial data to DCF valuation.

01

Historical data

A reference point for the forecast.

02

Operating assumptions

Revenue, costs and margins in the years ahead.

03

Capital expenditure

Including CAPEX in cash flows.

04

Working capital

Impact of changes in inventories, receivables and operating payables.

05

Cash flow forecast

Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF).

06

Discount rate

Converting future cash flows to present value.

07

Terminal value

The value of cash flows beyond the explicit forecast period.

08

Enterprise value

The sum of discounted cash flows and terminal value.

09

Impact of assumptions

Comparing results at different discount rates.

Cash flow forecast

See where the cash
in the model comes from.

In this simplified example, the company generates PLN 10m of free cash flow per year. The table shows the bridge from operating profit after tax to cash flow in the first forecast year.

FCFF forecast · 2027PLN m
ItemValue
Operating profit after tax12.0
Depreciation and amortization+3.0
Capital expenditure−4.0
Change in working capital−1.0
Free cash flow (FCFF)10.0

Simplified example · illustrative data

Sensitivity analysis

How does the discount rate
affect the valuation?

With the same cash flows and zero growth after the forecast period, a higher discount rate lowers the present value of the business.

AssumptionWACCEnterprise value · PLN m
Lower rate9%111.11
Base scenario10%100.00
Higher rate11%90.91
↗

Only the discount rate changes in each scenario. Illustrative data.

Valuation process

Three steps in the DCF model.

⇄

Set the assumptions

Use historical data as the reference point for the forecast.

Data / assumptions

◷

Build the forecast

Include operating profit, investments and changes in working capital.

Forecast / cash flows

☷

Calculate the value

Discount the cash flows and the terminal value.

Discounting / valuation

Valuation result

See what makes up
the enterprise value.

In this example, the present value of five years of cash flows is PLN 37.91m. The discounted value of cash flows beyond that period adds another PLN 62.09m.

Base scenario summaryWACC 10%
Valuation componentPresent value · PLN m
Cash flows 2027–203137.91
Terminal value62.09
Enterprise value (EV)100.00

Illustrative data

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about business valuation.

What is the DCF method?

The DCF method values a business as the sum of future free cash flows discounted to the valuation date at a rate reflecting the cost of capital (WACC).

What does terminal value mean?

It is the value of cash flows generated after the explicit forecast period, discounted to present value. It often accounts for a significant part of the valuation.

Is enterprise value the same as equity value?

No. Enterprise value (EV) relates to total capital. To get equity value, net debt is deducted from EV.

What does a sensitivity analysis show?

It shows how the valuation changes under different assumptions – e.g. the discount rate – with all other parameters unchanged.

See your model
before you decide.

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